022100

포스코DXKR05/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.08%
P05–P95 span
8.44%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.83
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.76%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -3.80%P25: -1.75%P50: 0.08%P75: 1.09%P95: 4.64%

Computed at: 05/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 4.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.