022100

포스코DXKR05/10/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.21%
P05–P95 span
29.38%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.41
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-8.59%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.72%P25: -2.61%P50: 0.21%P75: 2.06%P95: 22.66%

Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.6 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.