021240

코웨이KR04/13/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.81%
P05–P95 span
10.61%
Neighbors
5
Sharpness
0.79
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+7.41%
Outer 90%
4/10(40%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.83%P25: -2.82%P50: -0.81%P75: 0.71%P95: 3.78%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:47 AM · ESS 5.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.