Insights / kr
021240
코웨이KR04/02/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.16%
P05–P95 span
22.80%
Neighbors
29
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+15.37%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.96%P25: -2.60%P50: -0.16%P75: 3.07%P95: 13.84%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 28.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.