Insights / kr
018260
삼성에스디에스KR05/28/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.10%
P05–P95 span
22.80%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
8 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+8
-13.72%
Outer 90%
6/8(75%)
Middle 50%
3/8(38%)
Above median
3/8(38%)
Below median
5/8(63%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -15.26%P25: -7.22%P50: -2.10%P75: 1.52%P95: 7.54%
Computed at: 05/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.