Insights / kr
018260
삼성에스디에스KR05/14/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
18.25%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.63
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+95.15%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.29%P25: -3.25%P50: 0.00%P75: 4.53%P95: 10.96%
Computed at: 05/14/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.6 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.