Insights / kr
018260
삼성에스디에스KR04/29/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.22%
P05–P95 span
19.21%
Neighbors
21
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.80%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -8.47%P25: -3.91%P50: -1.22%P75: 0.94%P95: 10.75%
Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.