Insights / kr
018260
삼성에스디에스KR04/23/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+1.20%
P05–P95 span
25.93%
Neighbors
14
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.13%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.77%P25: -2.75%P50: 1.20%P75: 3.79%P95: 20.16%
Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 13.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.