Insights / kr
018260
삼성에스디에스KR04/15/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-2.59%
P05–P95 span
27.05%
Neighbors
23
Sharpness
0.46
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-14.33%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.06%P25: -6.12%P50: -2.59%P75: 2.03%P95: 13.99%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 22.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.