017800

현대엘리베이터KR05/25/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.71%
P05–P95 span
32.52%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.35
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-13.03%
Outer 90%
0/10(0%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.70%P25: -1.37%P50: 0.71%P75: 3.92%P95: 26.81%

Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.