017800

현대엘리베이터KR05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.42%
P05–P95 span
26.87%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.46
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-14.53%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.82%P25: -5.08%P50: -1.42%P75: 0.29%P95: 14.05%

Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.