017800

현대엘리베이터KR04/23/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.21%
P05–P95 span
20.70%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.10%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
8/10(80%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.75%P25: -1.51%P50: 0.21%P75: 3.19%P95: 12.95%

Computed at: 04/23/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 19.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.