017800

현대엘리베이터KR04/15/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.76%
P05–P95 span
9.62%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.81
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.10%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -6.49%P25: -2.41%P50: -0.76%P75: 0.47%P95: 3.13%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.