Insights / kr
016360
삼성증권KR06/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.15%
P05–P95 span
33.11%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.34
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+3
-0.80%
Outer 90%
2/3(67%)
Middle 50%
2/3(67%)
Above median
1/3(33%)
Below median
2/3(67%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -24.70%P25: -3.37%P50: 0.15%P75: 2.56%P95: 8.41%
Computed at: 06/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.