Insights / kr
016360
삼성증권KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.48%
P05–P95 span
16.27%
Neighbors
12
Sharpness
0.67
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
-8.66%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
0/5(0%)
Above median
1/5(20%)
Below median
4/5(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.27%P25: -2.84%P50: 0.48%P75: 2.10%P95: 5.00%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 11.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.