Insights / kr
016360
삼성증권KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.66%
P05–P95 span
16.03%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.68
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.63%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.18%P25: -3.60%P50: 0.66%P75: 3.29%P95: 6.86%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.