Insights / kr
016360
삼성증권KR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.79%
P05–P95 span
20.31%
Neighbors
10
Sharpness
0.59
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.59%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -15.07%P25: -6.60%P50: -1.79%P75: 0.25%P95: 5.24%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 9.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.