015760

한국전력KR04/29/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.16%
P05–P95 span
11.13%
Neighbors
17
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-14.33%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
4/10(40%)
Below median
6/10(60%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.47%P25: -1.96%P50: -0.16%P75: 3.06%P95: 5.66%

Computed at: 04/29/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 16.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.