Insights / kr
015760
한국전력KR04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.05%
P05–P95 span
15.71%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+14.39%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -3.72%P25: -2.11%P50: -0.05%P75: 2.81%P95: 11.99%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.