014820

동원시스템즈KR05/12/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.86%
P05–P95 span
18.07%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.42%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.98%P25: -1.26%P50: 1.86%P75: 6.49%P95: 10.09%

Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.