014820

동원시스템즈KR04/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+4.16%
P05–P95 span
17.72%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.65
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+9.72%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -1.73%P25: 0.97%P50: 4.16%P75: 9.10%P95: 15.99%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 6.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.