014680

한솔케미칼KR05/12/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.96%
P05–P95 span
23.99%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.52
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.75%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.34%P25: -6.83%P50: -1.96%P75: 2.87%P95: 12.65%

Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.