Insights / kr
012750
에스원KR06/03/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.53%
P05–P95 span
13.40%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
5 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+5
+3.93%
Outer 90%
4/5(80%)
Middle 50%
1/5(20%)
Above median
1/5(20%)
Below median
4/5(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.75%P25: -1.47%P50: 0.53%P75: 2.43%P95: 7.65%
Computed at: 06/03/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 6.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.