Insights / kr
012750
에스원KR05/27/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.50%
P05–P95 span
21.24%
Neighbors
11
Sharpness
0.58
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
9 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+9
+11.32%
Outer 90%
9/9(100%)
Middle 50%
4/9(44%)
Above median
8/9(89%)
Below median
1/9(11%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.33%P25: -2.14%P50: -0.50%P75: 3.89%P95: 15.90%
Computed at: 05/27/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 10.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.