Insights / kr
012750
에스원KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.31%
P05–P95 span
10.93%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+4.08%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.93%P25: -2.98%P50: -0.31%P75: 1.08%P95: 5.00%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.