Insights / kr
012750
에스원KR05/07/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+2.84%
P05–P95 span
17.03%
Neighbors
20
Sharpness
0.66
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.02%
Outer 90%
9/10(90%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -5.94%P25: -0.45%P50: 2.84%P75: 6.41%P95: 11.09%
Computed at: 05/07/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.