Insights / kr
012750
에스원KR04/05/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.84%
P05–P95 span
15.02%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.70
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.78%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.91%P25: -4.73%P50: -1.84%P75: 2.11%P95: 7.11%
Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 9.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.