012630

HDCKR06/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-3.36%

P05–P95 span

17.41%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.65

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

3 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+3

+11.61%

Outer 90%

2/3(67%)

Middle 50%

0/3(0%)

Above median

3/3(100%)

Below median

0/3(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.80%P25: -6.40%P50: -3.36%P75: -0.78%P95: 5.61%

Computed at: 06/08/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.