Insights / kr
012450
한화에어로스페이스KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.39%
P05–P95 span
15.50%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.69
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-18.85%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -6.78%P25: -3.50%P50: -0.39%P75: 3.50%P95: 8.72%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.