Insights / kr
012450
한화에어로스페이스KR04/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-1.33%
P05–P95 span
18.96%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.62
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-7.30%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -9.34%P25: -3.60%P50: -1.33%P75: 2.24%P95: 9.62%
Computed at: 04/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.4 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.