012450

한화에어로스페이스KR04/19/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.31%
P05–P95 span
21.26%
Neighbors
16
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-0.97%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
9/10(90%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.63%P25: -3.67%P50: -1.31%P75: 1.97%P95: 13.63%

Computed at: 04/19/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 15.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.