012450

한화에어로스페이스KR04/08/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.88%
P05–P95 span
11.19%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-4.04%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.29%P25: -3.68%P50: -0.88%P75: 1.55%P95: 5.90%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 02:48 AM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.