012330

현대모비스KR05/25/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.64%
P05–P95 span
30.84%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.38
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-15.56%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
7/10(70%)
Below median
3/10(30%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -15.16%P25: -5.16%P50: -1.64%P75: 2.66%P95: 15.68%

Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.