012330

현대모비스KR05/21/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.01%
P05–P95 span
26.70%
Neighbors
15
Sharpness
0.47
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.02%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -5.22%P25: -2.27%P50: 1.01%P75: 6.50%P95: 21.49%

Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 14.1 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.