012330

현대모비스KR05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-0.67%
P05–P95 span
24.82%
Neighbors
13
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+24.02%
Outer 90%
5/10(50%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
8/10(80%)
Below median
2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -9.62%P25: -2.90%P50: -0.67%P75: 3.38%P95: 15.20%

Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 12.7 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.