012330

현대모비스KR04/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.22%
P05–P95 span
17.83%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.64
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+40.56%
Outer 90%
3/10(30%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
6/10(60%)
Below median
4/10(40%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -12.09%P25: -0.73%P50: 1.22%P75: 2.92%P95: 5.74%

Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 5.9 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.