Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR05/25/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.15%
P05–P95 span
25.11%
Neighbors
19
Sharpness
0.50
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-16.77%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
2/10(20%)
Below median
8/10(80%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.03%P25: -2.35%P50: -0.15%P75: 4.23%P95: 18.08%
Computed at: 05/25/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 18.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.