011790

SKCKR05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move

-0.14%

P05–P95 span

17.46%

Neighbors

Sharpness

0.65

Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)

10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices

Realized @ D+10

+8.77%

Outer 90%

5/10(50%)

Middle 50%

1/10(10%)

Above median

8/10(80%)

Below median

2/10(20%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -7.57%P25: -1.77%P50: -0.14%P75: 2.20%P95: 9.89%

Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.5 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.