Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR05/12/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.16%
P05–P95 span
21.52%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.57
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-1.15%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
3/10(30%)
Below median
7/10(70%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -10.79%P25: -3.36%P50: 0.16%P75: 4.47%P95: 10.73%
Computed at: 05/12/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.