Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR05/10/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
-0.84%
P05–P95 span
31.46%
Neighbors
25
Sharpness
0.37
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.50%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -11.15%P25: -5.89%P50: -0.84%P75: 4.95%P95: 20.31%
Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 24.8 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.