Insights / kr
011790
SKCKR04/16/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.23%
P05–P95 span
34.28%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.31
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+5.98%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
7/10(70%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -12.16%P25: -3.98%P50: 0.23%P75: 7.78%P95: 22.11%
Computed at: 04/16/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.9 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.