011780

금호석유화학KR05/17/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+0.56%
P05–P95 span
41.00%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.18
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.47%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
6/10(60%)
Above median
1/10(10%)
Below median
9/10(90%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -13.15%P25: -2.99%P50: 0.56%P75: 8.23%P95: 27.85%

Computed at: 05/17/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.