011780

금호석유화학KR04/22/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.88%
P05–P95 span
22.91%
Neighbors
18
Sharpness
0.54
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+6.64%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -2.53%P25: 0.22%P50: 1.88%P75: 5.19%P95: 20.38%

Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 17.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.