011780

금호석유화학KR04/20/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+1.55%
P05–P95 span
13.43%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.73
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.80%
Outer 90%
7/10(70%)
Middle 50%
4/10(40%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -4.79%P25: -0.30%P50: 1.55%P75: 5.07%P95: 8.64%

Computed at: 04/20/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.

011780 · 금호석유화학 Future Return Distribution (KR) | trade.var.gg