011780

금호석유화학KR04/02/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.73%
P05–P95 span
12.98%
Neighbors
6
Sharpness
0.74
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+15.15%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
0/10(0%)
Above median
10/10(100%)
Below median
0/10(0%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.82%P25: -6.63%P50: -1.73%P75: 0.71%P95: 4.16%

Computed at: 04/15/26, 03:49 AM · ESS 6.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.