011210

현대위아KR05/10/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
-1.57%
P05–P95 span
31.05%
Neighbors
24
Sharpness
0.38
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+1.43%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
5/10(50%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -11.20%P25: -5.87%P50: -1.57%P75: 5.16%P95: 19.85%

Computed at: 05/10/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 24.0 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.