Insights / kr
011170
롯데케미칼KR05/21/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.14%
P05–P95 span
10.90%
Neighbors
7
Sharpness
0.78
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-9.06%
Outer 90%
6/10(60%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -7.51%P25: -3.07%P50: 0.14%P75: 1.12%P95: 3.39%
Computed at: 05/21/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.0 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.