Insights / kr
011170
롯데케미칼KR05/18/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.20%
P05–P95 span
32.44%
Neighbors
8
Sharpness
0.35
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-3.57%
Outer 90%
10/10(100%)
Middle 50%
2/10(20%)
Above median
0/10(0%)
Below median
10/10(100%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -19.78%P25: -2.54%P50: 0.20%P75: 4.36%P95: 12.66%
Computed at: 05/18/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 7.7 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.