011170

롯데케미칼KR04/28/2026 · historical

Anchor-neighbor future return range

Median move
+2.40%
P05–P95 span
25.97%
Neighbors
9
Sharpness
0.48
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
-11.37%
Outer 90%
8/10(80%)
Middle 50%
3/10(30%)
Above median
5/10(50%)
Below median
5/10(50%)

Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.

Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)

Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar

MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized

Aggregated distribution (density strip)

Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors

P05: -8.12%P25: -1.81%P50: 2.40%P75: 7.39%P95: 17.84%

Computed at: 04/28/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 8.8 · horizon 10 bars

Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.