Insights / kr
011170
롯데케미칼KR04/22/2026 · historicalAnchor-neighbor future return range
Median move
+0.00%
P05–P95 span
19.89%
Neighbors
22
Sharpness
0.60
Forecast vs realized (hit-rate)
10 of 10 forecast days elapsed · comparing realized close prices
Realized @ D+10
+15.76%
Outer 90%
2/10(20%)
Middle 50%
1/10(10%)
Above median
9/10(90%)
Below median
1/10(10%)
Higher band-hit rate = better prediction. Above/below median tells which direction the actual drifted from the forecast center.
Probability Cone (D+1 ~ D+10)
Quantile bands P05/P25/P50/P75/P95 for each horizon bar
MedianMiddle 50%Outer 90%Realized
Aggregated distribution (density strip)
Weighted aggregate across all horizon bars and neighbors
P05: -13.02%P25: -4.31%P50: 0.00%P75: 2.39%P95: 6.86%
Computed at: 04/22/26, 06:15 PM · ESS 21.5 · horizon 10 bars
Note: This distribution is not investment advice and reflects historical patterns shown for reference only.